Simulation of a nuclear major accident at the Tricastin NPP

Rank, NPP code, date	mSv
1 TRI_2018-07-02	34.84
2 TRI_2018-05-08	27.01
3 TRI_2018-12-02	21.37
4 TRI_2017-11-08	15.65
5 TRI_2017-09-14	15.30
6 TRI_2018-08-13	15.17
7 TRI_2018-02-01	14.95
8 TRI_2020-09-21	11.60
9 TRI_2018-07-20	10.70
10 TRI_2018-07-27	10.56
11 TRI_2018-08-29	10.50
12 TRI_2018-01-16	10.43
13 TRI_2018-09-18	10.24
14 TRI_2018-12-13	10.14
15 TRI_2018-03-12	9.86
16 TRI_2017-08-08	9.62
17 TRI_2018-09-30	8.42
18 TRI_2021-03-04	8.26
19 TRI_2018-03-14	7.43
20 TRI_2017-12-08	7.38
21 TRI_2020-10-04	7.35
22 TRI_2021-05-08	7.28
23 TRI_2020-04-01	7.26
24 TRI_2017-09-27	7.18
25 TRI_2018-05-31	7.05
26 TRI_2018-09-21	6.92
27 TRI_2021-10-21	5.87
28 TRI_2017-08-23	5.82
29 TRI_2020-07-27	5.75
30 TRI_2017-09-29	5.69
31 TRI_2018-07-19	5.69
32 TRI_2018-07-03	5.67
33 TRI_2017-12-14	5.61
34 TRI_2020-09-05	5.32
35 TRI_2021-11-02	5.28
36 TRI_2018-05-23	5.09
37 TRI_2017-06-02	4.98
38 TRI_2020-08-19	4.97
39 TRI_2018-10-26	4.96
40 TRI_2017-09-30	4.94
41 TRI_2020-04-26	4.92
42 TRI_2017-08-18	4.90
43 TRI_2018-09-12	4.86
44 TRI_2018-09-05	4.00
45 TRI_2021-09-07	3.93
46 TRI_2017-12-12	3.90
47 TRI_2017-11-25	3.88
48 TRI_2018-01-18	3.77
49 TRI_2018-04-12	3.76
50 TRI_2020-07-21	3.65
51 TRI_2017-12-06	3.64
52 TRI_2020-05-11	3.55
53 TRI_2020-08-10	3.45
54 TRI_2020-10-05	3.43
55 TRI_2017-12-30	3.41
56 TRI_2017-05-26	3.40
57 TRI_2018-04-22	3.39
58 TRI_2018-03-03	3.34
59 TRI_2017-08-02	3.27
60 TRI_2021-05-31	3.18
61 TRI_2018-06-07	3.16
62 TRI_2021-06-23	3.10
63 TRI_2017-09-28	3.05
64 TRI_2018-07-28	3.05
65 TRI_2018-08-12	3.04
66 TRI_2018-07-14	3.00
67 TRI_2020-05-15	2.82
68 TRI_2018-05-21	2.77
69 TRI_2017-05-27	2.66
70 TRI_2018-09-17	2.59
71 TRI_2020-10-18	2.59
72 TRI_2018-05-07	2.57
73 TRI_2017-04-09	2.54
74 TRI_2017-07-07	2.52
75 TRI_2018-06-09	2.51
76 TRI_2017-08-27	2.50
77 TRI_2017-07-21	2.49
78 TRI_2020-10-06	2.45
79 TRI_2018-06-29	2.43
80 TRI_2021-09-06	2.41
81 TRI_2020-09-14	2.37
82 TRI_2017-06-20	2.34
83 TRI_2018-10-27	2.23
84 TRI_2021-09-23	2.20
85 TRI_2018-03-24	2.18
86 TRI_2021-06-22	2.15
87 TRI_2020-08-15	2.11
88 TRI_2018-03-05	2.10
89 TRI_2020-08-11	2.04
90 TRI_2017-09-09	2.02
91 TRI_2018-12-21	2.02
92 TRI_2020-06-25	2.01
93 TRI_2018-10-06	1.98
94 TRI_2017-04-28	1.94
95 TRI_2020-09-03	1.94
96 TRI_2020-12-31	1.92
97 TRI_2021-05-16	1.91
98 TRI_2018-06-11	1.84
99 TRI_2017-03-22	1.83
100 TRI_2021-12-28	1.81
101 TRI_2018-02-16	1.78
102 TRI_2020-05-04	1.78
103 TRI_2018-08-28	1.77
104 TRI_2021-03-07	1.77
105 TRI_2021-04-08	1.77
106 TRI_2020-04-30	1.73
107 TRI_2017-08-15	1.70
108 TRI_2017-06-30	1.67
109 TRI_2021-08-21	1.66
110 TRI_2017-07-08	1.65
111 TRI_2018-05-06	1.64
112 TRI_2018-10-29	1.60
113 TRI_2018-03-02	1.59
114 TRI_2017-12-31	1.58
115 TRI_2017-05-09	1.56
116 TRI_2017-01-03	1.54
117 TRI_2020-07-20	1.54
118 TRI_2017-07-20	1.52
119 TRI_2018-06-20	1.51
120 TRI_2018-10-28	1.49
121 TRI_2021-04-24	1.49
122 TRI_2020-07-01	1.48
123 TRI_2021-03-31	1.45
124 TRI_2017-05-04	1.44
125 TRI_2020-06-27	1.42
126 TRI_2021-06-03	1.42
127 TRI_2021-04-27	1.40
128 TRI_2017-03-02	1.36
129 TRI_2018-08-16	1.34
130 TRI_2020-05-05	1.33
131 TRI_2017-06-06	1.31
132 TRI_2017-08-13	1.29
133 TRI_2017-07-22	1.27
134 TRI_2021-08-30	1.27
135 TRI_2017-06-29	1.25
136 TRI_2020-05-22	1.25
137 TRI_2021-08-13	1.23
138 TRI_2020-11-01	1.17
139 TRI_2017-12-07	1.13
140 TRI_2018-02-27	1.12
141 TRI_2020-06-01	1.10
142 TRI_2018-11-19	1.09
143 TRI_2017-01-25	1.07
144 TRI_2020-07-31	1.06
145 TRI_2021-06-26	1.06
146 TRI_2021-10-24	1.03
147 TRI_2017-06-28	1.01
148 TRI_2020-07-10	1.01
149 TRI_2020-08-13	1.00
150 TRI_2021-08-14	1.00
151 TRI_2017-06-03	0.96
152 TRI_2018-04-27	0.95
153 TRI_2017-05-30	0.92
154 TRI_2021-09-12	0.91
155 TRI_2018-03-29	0.89
156 TRI_2017-04-07	0.86
157 TRI_2017-07-29	0.86
158 TRI_2017-08-22	0.85
159 TRI_2020-06-11	0.84
160 TRI_2020-02-10	0.83
161 TRI_2021-07-27	0.82
162 TRI_2018-01-04	0.81
163 TRI_2020-06-24	0.79
164 TRI_2021-05-06	0.77
165 TRI_2017-06-09	0.74
166 TRI_2020-02-13	0.74
167 TRI_2020-09-30	0.74
168 TRI_2021-03-11	0.74
169 TRI_2017-08-31	0.73
170 TRI_2020-08-28	0.73
171 TRI_2020-09-20	0.73
172 TRI_2018-06-03	0.69
173 TRI_2020-03-01	0.69
174 TRI_2020-04-12	0.69
175 TRI_2018-07-26	0.66
176 TRI_2021-08-07	0.62
177 TRI_2017-06-11	0.61
178 TRI_2018-04-20	0.60
179 TRI_2018-08-06	0.60
180 TRI_2017-12-15	0.58
181 TRI_2017-09-26	0.56
182 TRI_2020-08-09	0.56
183 TRI_2018-06-30	0.55
184 TRI_2020-02-06	0.54
185 TRI_2017-04-01	0.53
186 TRI_2020-04-25	0.52
187 TRI_2021-05-24	0.52
188 TRI_2018-07-04	0.50
189 TRI_2018-09-26	0.50
190 TRI_2021-07-12	0.47
191 TRI_2018-11-03	0.46
192 TRI_2021-11-27	0.43
193 TRI_2017-07-04	0.41
194 TRI_2020-06-23	0.38
195 TRI_2017-07-03	0.37
196 TRI_2018-09-20	0.37
197 TRI_2020-12-07	0.36
198 TRI_2021-05-07	0.35
199 TRI_2018-12-16	0.34
200 TRI_2020-09-16	0.32
201 TRI_2018-09-11	0.30
202 TRI_2017-06-22	0.29
203 TRI_2017-06-08	0.28
204 TRI_2020-09-23	0.28
205 TRI_2017-12-10	0.27
206 TRI_2020-02-15	0.27
207 TRI_2020-07-30	0.27
208 TRI_2018-09-10	0.25
209 TRI_2017-08-28	0.24
210 TRI_2018-04-21	0.24
211 TRI_2020-03-18	0.24
212 TRI_2021-02-25	0.24
213 TRI_2018-08-31	0.23
214 TRI_2018-01-31	0.22
215 TRI_2021-07-04	0.20
216 TRI_2017-05-21	0.16
217 TRI_2018-01-03	0.15
218 TRI_2020-04-11	0.15
219 TRI_2017-08-03	0.14
220 TRI_2020-06-13	0.13
221 TRI_2020-04-22	0.12
222 TRI_2021-08-12	0.12
223 TRI_2021-05-05	0.07
224 TRI_2017-01-01	0.00
225 TRI_2017-01-02	0.00
226 TRI_2017-01-04	0.00
227 TRI_2017-01-05	0.00

Rank, NPP code, date

mSv

1 TRI_2018-07-02

34.84

27.01

21.37

15.65

15.30

15.17

14.95

11.60

10.70

10.56

10.50

10.43

10.24

10.14

9.86

9.62

8.42

8.26

7.43

7.38

7.35

7.28

7.26

7.18

7.05

6.92

5.87

5.82

5.75

5.69

5.69

5.67

5.61

5.32

5.28

5.09

4.98

4.97

4.96

4.94

4.92

4.90

4.86

4.00

3.93

3.90

3.88

3.77

3.76

3.65

3.64

3.55

3.45

3.43

3.41

3.40

3.39

3.34

3.27

3.18

3.16

3.10

3.05

3.05

3.04

3.00

2.82

2.77

2.66

2.59

2.59

2.57

2.54

2.52

2.51

2.50

2.49

2.45

2.43

2.41

2.37

2.34

2.23

2.20

2.18

2.15

2.11

2.10

2.04

2.02

2.02

2.01

1.98

1.94

1.94

1.92

1.91

1.84

1.83

1.81

1.78

1.78

1.77

1.77

1.77

1.73

1.70

1.67

1.66

1.65

1.64

1.60

1.59

1.58

1.56

1.54

1.54

1.52

1.51

1.49

1.49

1.48

1.45

1.44

1.42

1.42

1.40

1.36

1.34

1.33

1.31

1.29

1.27

1.27

1.25

1.25

1.23

1.17

1.13

1.12

1.10

1.09

1.07

1.06

1.06

1.03

1.01

1.01

1.00

1.00

0.96

0.95

0.92

0.91

0.89

0.86

0.86

0.85

0.84

0.83

0.82

0.81

0.79

0.77

0.74

0.74

0.74

0.74

0.73

0.73

0.73

0.69

0.69

0.69

0.66

0.62

0.61

0.60

0.60

0.58

0.56

0.56

0.55

0.54

0.53

0.52

0.52

0.50

0.50

0.47

0.46

0.43

0.41

0.38

0.37

0.37

0.36

0.35

0.34

0.32

0.30

0.29

0.28

0.28

0.27

0.27

0.27

0.25

0.24

0.24

0.24

0.24

0.23

0.22

0.20

0.16

0.15

0.15

0.14

0.13

0.12

0.12

0.07

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

ADDITIONAL EXPLANATION ON THE TABLE

1° The radioactivity comes from the passage of the cloud in the hours following an accident;
2° The above individual doses do not include soil irradiation or ingestion of contaminated food after the passage of the cloud;
3° These figures are estimates;
4° SEE COMMENTARY ON LOW AND HIGH DOSES.
5° The calculations are not derived using the map in the illustration, but from another map – of the same format as the one for download on our website to study deposition – which explains some discrepancies between the figure and its illustration.
6° The analysis of the 11 situations producing the maximum fallout allows us to establish the highest risk for a given city, i.e., the consequences of weather situations occurring in 1% of the cases.
7° The above data allow for the identification of the meteorological conditions that would have the worst impact on the area in question, as well as those that would keep radioactivity away. In the event of a major accident at the nuclear power plant concerned, a quick comparison of this analysis with the then prevailing meteorological conditions could be very useful to act as decentralized as possible; local authorities could keep these analyses as ready references to better and more rapidly deploy population protection strategies.

Major accident in one of the four reactors of Tricastin NPP (4 × 2785 MWth)

Possible impact on the inhabitants of :

St‑Jean‑de‑Maurienne (165 km) FRA

See the potential impact on the following geographical areas: Europe (51 countries) Spain France Italy Switzerland

ADDITIONAL EXPLANATION ON THE TABLE

Photo cropped from the work of Marianne Casamance, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Tricastin, France, pressurized water reactor (PWR), 4 × 2785 megawatts thermal (MWth)